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  • Asteroid close call.

    ...






    UK plan to track asteroid threat



    UK space scientists and engineers have designed a mission to investigate a potentially hazardous asteroid.


    The 300m-wide (1,000ft) rock, known as Apophis, will fly past Earth in April 2029 at a distance that is closer than many communications satellites.


    Astrium, based in Stevenage, Herts, wants a probe to track the asteroid so its orbit can be better understood.

    The concept will compete for a $50,000 (£25,000) Planetary Society prize, but a full mission would cost millions.

    The British design calls for a small, remote-sensing spacecraft, dubbed Apex, which could rendezvous with Apophis in January 2014.

    It would spend three years tracking the rock, sending data back to Earth about the object's size, spin, composition and temperature.

    From this information, orbit modelling would enable a more accurate prediction of the risk of any future collision.

    Early warning

    Astrium says that if its concept won the prize, it would donate the money to charity.

    "The real prize for us would be if the European or US space agencies thought there was merit in our proposal and asked us to carry the feasibility study forward," said Dr Mike Healy, the company's space science director.

    A full mission would be expected to cost several hundred million dollars to develop and launch.


    Apophis caused some consternation in 2004 when initial observations suggested it might hit Earth in 2029.

    Further study by ground-based telescopes indicated there was virtually no chance of this happening, and the expectation is that the object will whiz past the Earth at a close but comfortable distance of just under 36,000km (22,400 miles).

    Talk of a possible strike on the next visit in 2036 has also been dampened by astronomers who have kept a careful watch over the rock's progress through space.

    Nonetheless, Apophis is considered a good target on which to practise Earth-protection measures.

    Were such an object to hit the Earth, it could cause devastation on a country-wide scale, leading possibly to the deaths of many millions of people.

    Scientists say, however, that given sufficient warning, a potential impactor could be deflected out of Earth's path.

    Some have suggested such a rock might be nudged on to a safe trajectory by hitting it with a small mass. Others have proposed flying a spacecraft next to the object, to use gravity to tug the asteroid clear of the planet.

    Political support

    The issue of asteroid or comet strikes is a topical one as researchers continue to gather more information about their frequency during Earth history.

    At least one of the planet's mass extinction events - which included the demise of the dinosaurs 65 million years ago - has been attributed to the impact of a large space object.

    Liberal Democrat MP Lembit Opik has campaigned for the research area to be given more funding. His grandfather, renowned Estonian astronomer Ernst Opik, did much to raise science's understanding of Earth-crossing comets and asteroids.

    The politician told the BBC News website: "The question isn't whether Earth is hit by an asteroid - it is when.

    "Good luck to Astrium; they are showing that if we have the political will, we certainly have the technical know-how to do something about threatening objects."

    The US-based Planetary Society has organised its competition in co-operation with the European Space Agency (Esa), the US space agency (Nasa), the Association of Space Explorers (ASE), the American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics (AIAA), and the Universities Space Research Association (USRA).

    The winning entry will be submitted to space agencies to see if they want to carry the ideas through.


    Story from BBC NEWS:
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    Diplomacy, it's a way of saying “nice doggie”, until you find a rock!

  • #2
    One reason why NASA has been exploring the idea of asteroid missions using Orion once it goes live.

    Depending on how much gravitational 'slingshot' it gets from the 2029 flyby 2036 might be even more interesting, maybe not. We just aren't doing enough to track them.

    You might want to check out the B612 Foundation, a group set up by former Apollo astronaut Rusty Schweickart.
    Last edited by Dr Mordrid; 31 August 2007, 09:35.
    Dr. Mordrid
    ----------------------------
    An elephant is a mouse built to government specifications.

    I carry a gun because I can't throw a rock 1,250 fps

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    • #3
      Originally posted by ND66 View Post
      The 300m-wide (1,000ft) rock, known as Apophis, will fly past Earth in April 2029 at a distance that is closer than many communications satellites.
      So, am I correct in assuming that it crosses the geostationary orbits of satellites, and that it could potentially knock out a couple of satellites when it passes?


      Jörg
      pixar
      Dream as if you'll live forever. Live as if you'll die tomorrow. (James Dean)

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      • #4
        Originally posted by VJ View Post
        So, am I correct in assuming that it crosses the geostationary orbits of satellites, and that it could potentially knock out a couple of satellites when it passes?


        Jörg

        As long as they didn’t screwed up by using Inch instead of MM as a measuring units, like they did with that Mars mission….. .

        .
        Diplomacy, it's a way of saying “nice doggie”, until you find a rock!

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