Solar flare/CME alert

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  • Dr Mordrid
    Moderator
    • Apr 2001
    • 26592

    #1

    Solar flare/CME alert



    EARTH-DIRECTED SOLAR FLARE:

    Active sunspot 1401 erupted today, Jan. 19th, between 15:15 and 16:30 UT. The long-duration blast produced an M3-class solar flare and a CME that appears to be heading toward Earth. This movie from the Solar Dynamics Observatory shows the extreme UV flash: [click through for movie]

    NASA's twin STEREO spacecraft recorded an impressive CME emerging from the blast site: movie #1, movie #2. Analysts at the Goddard Space Weather Lab confirm that the CME is heading for Earth, and they say strong geomagnetic storms are possible (although not guaranteed) when the cloud arrives this weekend. Their animated forecast track predicts an impact on Jan. 21st at 22:30 UT (+/- 7 hrs)..
    Dr. Mordrid
    ----------------------------
    An elephant is a mouse built to government specifications.

    I carry a gun because I can't throw a rock 1,250 fps
  • Fat Tone
    Super MURCer
    • Aug 1999
    • 7579

    #2
    What are the potential effects with that magnitude?
    FT.

    Comment

    • Dr Mordrid
      Moderator
      • Apr 2001
      • 26592

      #3
      Commuications interference, satellite disruptions, large aurora displays, possible power system overloads (not as likely with this class.)
      Dr. Mordrid
      ----------------------------
      An elephant is a mouse built to government specifications.

      I carry a gun because I can't throw a rock 1,250 fps

      Comment

      • Fat Tone
        Super MURCer
        • Aug 1999
        • 7579

        #4
        So not the end of the world, but the ISS astronauts will still be bunkering down.
        FT.

        Comment

        • VJ
          Moderator
          • Mar 2001
          • 9733

          #5
          I keep hoping for a chance to see aurora... the images/videos of it just don't seem to do it justice I think... Still, I'm not high enough up north to have any chance at the moment...
          pixar
          Dream as if you'll live forever. Live as if you'll die tomorrow. (James Dean)

          Comment

          • Fat Tone
            Super MURCer
            • Aug 1999
            • 7579

            #6
            I'm with you on that. If I thought there was a good chance of travelling within the UK to see it i'd be there.
            FT.

            Comment

            • Dr Mordrid
              Moderator
              • Apr 2001
              • 26592

              #7
              Not near cities, but in Michigan (lat: 42° 17' 36" here) go 20 miles outside the metro areas and you're into real dak skies where aurora really shine. During solar maximums it can be fun to take a road trip to one of the many state parks where observing areas near parking are plentiful (and used a lot.) Good places to see comets too.
              Dr. Mordrid
              ----------------------------
              An elephant is a mouse built to government specifications.

              I carry a gun because I can't throw a rock 1,250 fps

              Comment

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