Which stonks are you buying if any?

[Dr Mordrid]

Tesla Q4 2020 earnings call set for January 27.

Their Full Self Driving system (NOT Autopilot!) and neural network continues to evolve and is in public beta. Besides the massive new software suite, and the Dojo supercomputer for training their vehicle neural networks, their radar sensor system gets an upgrade;

From the filing,

The equipment under test (EUT) was a Vehicle Millimeter-wave Radar Sensor operating in 60 GHz band (60-64 GHz)

The Model Y crossover SUV gets a 5-star safety rating from NHTSA, and the 3rd row seat/7 passenger & standard range version are appearing .

[UtwigMU]

I got 15 EUR in dividends after taxes today. Enjoying that passive income.

[Umfriend]

So I don't advise on portfolio management and even if I did, I am a bad investor so I would advise to ignore anything I say. However....

What do you mean by rolling over put options? Say the S=50 and you buy a put for 1 month at X=40 and pay 2 for that. If one day prior to expiration S=41 (or higher), the value will still be close to 0 and you may lose the whole 2. You can of course then buy another put for the next month at X=40 (or 35 of whatever). You can, close to expiration, try to sell the short put and buy a longer put to avoid a bit of bid/offer spread but for OTM options it does not do much unless you buy many many options I think.

Personally, I went in "big" for me during March-May because of my strategy of writing/shorting put options and I got a load of shares (in just five companies). But once I had them, I would start shorting call options on them such that the strikes for X-shares were a bit above the strikes against which I got them. The idea being that at least I get a bit of premium and if I do get hit (assigned), I sell them at a bit more than what I paid for them. Basically a laddered last-in-first-out mechanism. As long as I have shares, the cost of the ones I have will always be above the current market price but combined with the premiums I might do well. With 3 of the 5, I am now cash positive _and_ have 100 shares in portfolio that I'll keep.

I am doing very well (again, it's not like I am trading 100K or anything) because the market, IMHO, is crazy. So I am now more back to holding cash instead of equity and have no real intention of going in for a while. May change a bit AIW I get to be cash-positive with the last 2 equities as well. To address FOMO, you could consider just putting small monthly amounts in a number of equity funds (which I do anyway).

[dZeus]

Why would a CDS be better than a put option on equity?

I haven't really ventured much further than buying shares, so perhaps a put option is better than CDS. Can you easily roll over put options if the share price hasn't gone down to the point you anticipate and the option is somewhat close to expiration?

Anyway, I think I'll just stick to buying shares when I think they're undervalued, and selling when they are topping out over the medium-long term.
Might need to wait another 5 years before the share price of IAG goes up enough to recoup my losses... rofl (if shareholders don't get wiped out completely, which I would expect to happen when the vaccines don't protect against the dominant mutation-du-jour)

The fact that for the first time I've invested in shares this year (like many other people that I've talked to) as well as the popularity of platforms like RobinHood make me fear there's a lot of 'bigger fools' in the market right now (probably am part of that gang myself). Still doubting whether I should sell all and take my 20% YoY return, and wait for a pull-back to buy in again, or wait for further long term gains (most of my shares are still only at 1/2 their pre-Covid price).
With the massive stimulus coordinated world-wide without substantially rising government bond rates, I guess it is relatively safe to stay in shares for now...

[Umfriend]

Which brokerages are you using?

The little I do in active portfolio management I do through ABN AMRO. And I only do stocks which are listed on the Amsterdam stock exchange.

[UtwigMU]

Why would a CDS be better than a put option on equity?

Which brokerages are you using?

[Umfriend]

Why would a CDS be better than a put option on equity?

[dZeus]

Tesla being setup for a (Big) fall? https://jalopnik.com/tesla-would-tak...unt-1846044574

As much as I've been tempted to, I'll avoid shorting Tesla. Maybe CDS is a better way to play this, but not really accessible for small retail investors like us.

In general tech industry valuations seem completely off right now, especially with the world awaiting another massive flare-up with the British and South-African variations of covid (check the situation in London and prepare for the same to arrive elsewhere in the next 2-3 months).

[MultimediaMan]

Tesla being setup for a (Big) fall? https://jalopnik.com/tesla-would-tak...unt-1846044574

[Dr Mordrid]

SpaceX's StarLink gets Federal funding for rural internet... and they're planning an IPO "in a few years"

Hit the business press after FCC filings this morning, showing they received about 9.3% of the $9.2 billion program, which had 180 bidders. Geostationary providers like Hughes and ViaSat, not so much - their latencies are too high.

This is a Really. Big. Deal., and the military interest is also high.

https://twitter.com/thesheetztweetz/status/1336049316885114883

https://twitter.com/thesheetztweetz/status/1336050814167736321

[Dr Mordrid]

Tesla will be added to S&P500 in one gulp, not split up.

https://www.investors.com/news/tesla-stock-rises-sp-500-index-update/

And,

https://www.reuters.com/article/idUSL4N2IG1A5

Exclusive: LG Chem to double China battery capacity to meet Tesla demand - sources

SEOUL (Reuters) - South Korea’s LG Chem Ltd plans to more than double production capacity of battery cells it makes in China for Tesla Inc electric vehicles (EV) next year, sources said, to keep up with its U.S. client’s growth in the biggest car market.
>

[Dr Mordrid]

Tesla joins the S&P 500 December 21.

They're up to 461.92 after hours, and bound to go higher given inclusion in the index brings in more institutional investors.

It's also looking like they'll come close to or hit their 500,000 sales target, and the Tesla Austin factory may start installing equipment by New Years. Jezzz...that build is going fast.

[UtwigMU]

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/tsla-soars-inclusion-sp-500

TSLA Soars On Inclusion In The S&P 500

[Dr Mordrid]

Of*Mississauga,*Ontario and Dallas, Texas.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/pride-group-enterprises-announces-reservations-190000113.html

Pride Group Enterprises Announces Reservations Placed for 150 Tesla Electric Semi Tractors

DALLAS, TX / ACCESSWIRE / November 4, 2020 /*​Today, Pride Group Enterprises (PGE) is announcing that it has reserved 150 Tesla Electric Semis with the option to increase to 500 trucks. Sam Johal, Pride Group Enterprises CEO, announced that the company has placed a deposit to secure the initial units and build slots.
>

[Dr Mordrid]

During their earnings report, Panasonic announced they're developing 4680 tabless battery cells based on what Tesla announced on Battery Day.

Given the chemistry flexibility, low internal resistance and power, there's little doubt Samsung, CATL and LG Chem will follow.