Which stonks are you buying if any?

[UtwigMU]

I got 20 Euro cents in nett dividends from 2 nVidia stocks I'm holding.

I have created a meme portfolio in IBKR account: AMD, PLTR, NOK But so far I'm not doing well with my rapid growth strategy there. There is significant Russian buildup and Ukraine has declared they will "liberate" Crimea now that they have Biden backing. Should this happen, stonks will go down.

[Dr Mordrid]

Tesla Q4 results

This is with 1) the auto industry chip shortage still ongoing, and 2) only ~2,000 deliveries of Models S & Y due to a major upgrading of both.

S/X production has already re-started, and by year's end the German factory should be producing Models 3 and Y with the new 4680 battery packs. The Austin factory may start in Q4, and test production of the Cybertruck should begin in Fremont, CA before moving to Austin, TX.

https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-deliveries-smashed-expectations-the-stock-should-rise-monday-51617373716

Tesla Deliveries Smashed Expectations. The Stock Should Rise Monday.

Tesla delivered a great bit of news Friday. The electric vehicle pioneer posted a healthy quarterly increase in deliveries, a number more than double 2020’s first-quarter total.
>
Tesla delivered about 185,000 vehicles*in the first quarter, compared with 181,000 in the fourth-quarter of 2020 and about 88,000 vehicles in the first quarter of 2020. Year-over-year growth is more than 100%.
>
The result keeps Tesla on track to deliver the Wall Street consensus of roughly 800,000 vehicles in 2021, up about 60% year over year. ...
>

[Umfriend]

However, that analysis suffers from survivorship bias. But yeah, Buffet, I think, is more of a value rather than growth investor. Until 2018 (pre some sort of GAAP accounting rule change he did not like) he did typically outperform S&P 500 though.

[UtwigMU]

Tech is related to all industries but most investments go in tech part.

I did dollar cost averaging calculations from 2000 until now

https://www.buyupside.com/alphavantagelive/dollarcostavecomputeav.php?symbol=AAPL&amountinitial=100&amount=100&start_month=02&start_year=2000&end_month=02&end_year=2021&submit=Calculate+Returns

AAPL = 2.44M (because they did well throughout the period)
NVDA = 1.06M
AMD = 300k
MSFT = 226k (because they did well only recently)
MA = 196k
QQQ = 158k
MCD = 152k
SPY = 84k
V = 91k
INTC = 80k
BRK-B = 77k
PEP = 68k
KO = 58k
HP = 35k but they were at 85k in 2014

3% interest = 35k
0% interest = 25k

As you can see Berkshire doesn't outperform Visa or McDonalds or S&P. Reason is Buffet stayed away from tech. Doing something like dollar cost averaging in EQQQ is diversified and gives results. Nasdaq of today has mostly serious b2b and b2c companies, while in 1999 it had hype.

[UtwigMU]

Most of my money comes from food & beverage where I work. I do a tech job in non-tech sector (for how long remains to be seen). Also 50% of my portfolio is not tech, it's pharma and insurance.

[Umfriend]

And there is a lot to say for that. However, consider this: You are in tech, that is where you make your money. If tech goes well, chances are you'll do well. Your know-how, expertise, experience, education etc. represent real value. The quantum of that value may well correlate with the general fortunes of the tech sector. So investing in that exposes you to tech-sector-risk twice, sorta.

Now I don't mind if people use a part of their savings to play around a bit, pick certain stock for whatever reason (or, god forbid, crypto). But diversification is really powerful in helping getting a good risk/return profile. That is why I would advise anyone (who still needs to work to get food on the table) to consider diversifying and take into account where their regular income comes from.

[UtwigMU]

I invest in what I know. So I'm tech heavy.

[Umfriend]

as my job is in tech, I'd rather look for investments in different areas.

Now that, IMHO, is a very wise consideration.

[dZeus]

With markets down, NVDA is very cheap today. I know we're pro Matrox here but they are not publicly traded.

While Arm deal seems dead in the water, the 3000 series did great. Also there is mining asic announced and because of mining boom there are/were no GPUs between 100 and 800 EUR in stock anywhere. This is why I'm bullish on nVidia.

When gold goes up people buy mining stocks, when BTC and ETH go up, you should buy nVidia.

as my job is in tech, I'd rather look for investments in different areas.
Today I pulled the trigger on GE, but looking at the current P/E and price history I should have entered at least 3-4 months ago. However, I believe they have a good future due to their exposure in the energy sector (gas turbines and renewables).

[UtwigMU]

With markets down, NVDA is very cheap today. I know we're pro Matrox here but they are not publicly traded.

While Arm deal seems dead in the water, the 3000 series did great. Also there is mining asic announced and because of mining boom there are/were no GPUs between 100 and 800 EUR in stock anywhere. This is why I'm bullish on nVidia.

When gold goes up people buy mining stocks, when BTC and ETH go up, you should buy nVidia.

[UtwigMU]

Cash, maybe dividend aristocrats to park gains.

EDIT: Also BRK-B is a good idea to put gains into when you don't know what to do with them.

[Umfriend]

Yeah, relative to March 2020, it is hard to find losers I guess. Reminds me of Buffets' duck in a pond analogy.

My main issue with the current oil price is that it is, AFAIK, still subject to production limitation. Now I am both a terrible market timer and stock picker but if you do liquidate, you might want to look into spreading out investing over time in diversified funds. I am currently rather passive, mostly writing calls on stock I own and I am seeking to divest as prices of the 2 stocks I own in excess of what I want actually rise. Investing monthly small amounts in funds addresses FOMO.

[dZeus]

Good play on the oil, they performed close to MSFT (one of best in 2020) since March without being hot tech stocks. My biggest mistake was not buying anything February - September because I had only 2-3 months of cash reserves which nearly ran out. Had that happened I'd be forced to sell at 30% loss. I doubled my cash reserves now but this is painful seeing those cool new toys and money burning hole in your pocket.

For those looking for play Fisker (FSR) with Apple rumors and Foxconn in talks of making their cars is the new hotness.

In my serious portfolio I picked more SALR. Management disclosed buying shares January, they acquired another company and are publishing preliminary results Friday. SALR is Pharma wholesaler and retailer with 6% dividend yield and good growth. I went in last year this time expecting good results due to Corona and I got it right.

It seems that almost everybody who bought in March 2020 should be up by massive percentages by now. Oil was lagging for a long time, but the recent Texas freeze episode seems to have renewed interest in commodities again. If anything, I don't believe the current valuations for oil are tenable, as airlines are still not flying much, and many countries are still battling with Covid ; The EU has a very slow vaccination ramp-up, leaving plenty of room for renewed outbreaks. Here in France we're already seeing new hotspots in the north-west, south-east and near the German border.
While liquidating existing positions is easy, I have no idea where to shift the proceedings into... maybe keep them in cash for a while? Overall the valuations seem absolutely crazy right now.

[UtwigMU]

My big oil shares bought in march 2020 are going bonkers currently.
Could hold on to XOM at 10% annual dividend (at acquisition price), but with the majority of new cars migrating to electric in the next 15 years, and oil having a bad rep (susceptible to government policies), it might not be a viable long term play.
Just about to pull the trigger and sell all my XOM and RDS... I guess I'll see how much further this 'rotation-from-tech-into-commodities' madness continues.

Good play on the oil, they performed close to MSFT (one of best in 2020) since March without being hot tech stocks. My biggest mistake was not buying anything February - September because I had only 2-3 months of cash reserves which nearly ran out. Had that happened I'd be forced to sell at 30% loss. I doubled my cash reserves now but this is painful seeing those cool new toys and money burning hole in your pocket.

For those looking for play Fisker (FSR) with Apple rumors and Foxconn in talks of making their cars is the new hotness.

In my serious portfolio I picked more SALR. Management disclosed buying shares January, they acquired another company and are publishing preliminary results Friday. SALR is Pharma wholesaler and retailer with 6% dividend yield and good growth. I went in last year this time expecting good results due to Corona and I got it right.

[dZeus]

My serious portfolio is still within +/- 1%. In my brokerage it's optimal to buy 700 EUR worth of local or 2700 foreign stonks in one lot to equalize percentage fee to minimum fee. So I'm buying 2-3k quarterly but I'm not brave enough to YOLO 3k on volatile meme stock.

So I opened another account in IBKR for play and YOLO. My YOLO portfolio: 1 AMD, 1 PLTR

My big oil shares bought in march 2020 are going bonkers currently.
Could hold on to XOM at 10% annual dividend (at acquisition price), but with the majority of new cars migrating to electric in the next 15 years, and oil having a bad rep (susceptible to government policies), it might not be a viable long term play.
Just about to pull the trigger and sell all my XOM and RDS... I guess I'll see how much further this 'rotation-from-tech-into-commodities' madness continues.